This ist a very thoughtful written article. But it covers only one side of the possibilities.
The question for me ist: When will the West, and especialliy the US say: Enough ist enough. When will the economical burden of this war for the Israeli citicen bei too high? When will the number of the killed Israelian soldiers be too high?
When will the Pictures of the atrocities and the suffering of the Palestinians will overwhelm the public opinion in the West?
The US will lose the war in Ukraine and elections will come soon. The Support for Israel will wane and the Biden administration would like to reach a Resolution of this conflict before.
Maybe they will be also aware of the possible threats you mentioned. I think, there will be more and more countries joining an alliance against this war, the longer it will go on.
However, this will need time and the suffering of the palestinian people will go on.
Kudos, well written, meticulously researched. But do you really believe in a Two State Solution? I'll step out on the ice and boldly proclaim that this will NEVER happen! Even Nasrallah recently stated that a One State Solution, Jews, Muslims, Christians and Others, living side by side, is the ONLY viable solution. Gaddafi said the same, calling the new entity Israstine. Two states is a pipe dream.
"losing a couple wars abroad in which only 7,000 Americans were killed."
KIA's were very much larger than 7k. Don't forget to be counted as KIA the soldier had to die "in theatre". If he died during evac, or in a military hospital in Berlin for example they weren't counted.
Also not counted were the many thousands of mercs, of which a considerabl amount were US citizens.
Little Bush ordered coffins to be hidden upon arrival as they didn't want people counting.
Thanks for coming to substack, Ramin! After writing a number of essays since 7 October, I welcome the addition of your insights. As a student of Western Imperialism and the Outlaw US Empire, I agree their current weakness is via their own hand due to very longstanding deleterious sociocultural addictions/afflictions accumulated over the Age of Plunder over the past 1000 years.
I wish you success here at substack. I enjoyed your essay at The Saker's. And I'm certain your writing will become even better as you gain more wisdom.
I wholeheartedly agree with the article except that Russia might end up at war with Israel. With 3 million Russian Jews in Israel and who knows how many still in Russia, it seems politically impossible for that event to occur.
Great article, thanks very much. I have one issue to present:
"....but Palestinians have made it clear they’re fine with a two-state solution, and I respect their sovereign decision."
I cannot accept this is being true. There is no clear irrefutable evidence it is true. It is only an assumption based on a clear absence of hard evidence. The Palestinians, all of them including international refugees must be given a number of opportunities to Vote democratically on these questions as Plebiscites offering alternatives. Proper care and attention - and free space without violence and wars and threats from Israel or the US/Europe - for proper dissemination of the possible options available to them to choose from and open dialogue and community discussions over a LONG CALM PERIOD of time before Voting ... eventually arriving at clear final Referendum of a particular formulation for a State being presented as a Yes or No question.
This process should take at least 2 years and in the interim Palestine should be governed by a small group of friendly but powerful nations separate to the corrupt and undermined UN system. After the choice is made of a one-state or two state solution state structure / form etc then the process needs to move onto the People discussing and voting upon a proper Constitution of their new nation. None of the things should be rushed, because there is no rush. East Timor is a good example to use as guide, and not what happened in Iraq.
Only once the Palestinians on their own choose to go with two state or a one state solution can the current Israeli citizens be given an opportunity to have their say regarding a one-state option. Unless the Palestinians have decided that immigrant Zionist Jews should be deported from the new state of Palestine .... wouldn't that put the cat among the pigeons, but frankly the Palestinians have such a moral and ethical Right to make that choice should they wish it. Palestine is after all always been THEIR TERRITORY and not the immigrant Zionist Jews who have arrived since 1922!
Most excellent and insightful perspective.
This ist a very thoughtful written article. But it covers only one side of the possibilities.
The question for me ist: When will the West, and especialliy the US say: Enough ist enough. When will the economical burden of this war for the Israeli citicen bei too high? When will the number of the killed Israelian soldiers be too high?
When will the Pictures of the atrocities and the suffering of the Palestinians will overwhelm the public opinion in the West?
The US will lose the war in Ukraine and elections will come soon. The Support for Israel will wane and the Biden administration would like to reach a Resolution of this conflict before.
Maybe they will be also aware of the possible threats you mentioned. I think, there will be more and more countries joining an alliance against this war, the longer it will go on.
However, this will need time and the suffering of the palestinian people will go on.
Kudos, well written, meticulously researched. But do you really believe in a Two State Solution? I'll step out on the ice and boldly proclaim that this will NEVER happen! Even Nasrallah recently stated that a One State Solution, Jews, Muslims, Christians and Others, living side by side, is the ONLY viable solution. Gaddafi said the same, calling the new entity Israstine. Two states is a pipe dream.
"losing a couple wars abroad in which only 7,000 Americans were killed."
KIA's were very much larger than 7k. Don't forget to be counted as KIA the soldier had to die "in theatre". If he died during evac, or in a military hospital in Berlin for example they weren't counted.
Also not counted were the many thousands of mercs, of which a considerabl amount were US citizens.
Little Bush ordered coffins to be hidden upon arrival as they didn't want people counting.
"or it could also mean taking on Russia as well,"
And Russia has the men and weapons if required. They have 400,000 sitting and waiting....for something. And thousands are signing up each month.
Thanks for coming to substack, Ramin! After writing a number of essays since 7 October, I welcome the addition of your insights. As a student of Western Imperialism and the Outlaw US Empire, I agree their current weakness is via their own hand due to very longstanding deleterious sociocultural addictions/afflictions accumulated over the Age of Plunder over the past 1000 years.
I wish you success here at substack. I enjoyed your essay at The Saker's. And I'm certain your writing will become even better as you gain more wisdom.
I wholeheartedly agree with the article except that Russia might end up at war with Israel. With 3 million Russian Jews in Israel and who knows how many still in Russia, it seems politically impossible for that event to occur.
Great article, thanks very much. I have one issue to present:
"....but Palestinians have made it clear they’re fine with a two-state solution, and I respect their sovereign decision."
I cannot accept this is being true. There is no clear irrefutable evidence it is true. It is only an assumption based on a clear absence of hard evidence. The Palestinians, all of them including international refugees must be given a number of opportunities to Vote democratically on these questions as Plebiscites offering alternatives. Proper care and attention - and free space without violence and wars and threats from Israel or the US/Europe - for proper dissemination of the possible options available to them to choose from and open dialogue and community discussions over a LONG CALM PERIOD of time before Voting ... eventually arriving at clear final Referendum of a particular formulation for a State being presented as a Yes or No question.
This process should take at least 2 years and in the interim Palestine should be governed by a small group of friendly but powerful nations separate to the corrupt and undermined UN system. After the choice is made of a one-state or two state solution state structure / form etc then the process needs to move onto the People discussing and voting upon a proper Constitution of their new nation. None of the things should be rushed, because there is no rush. East Timor is a good example to use as guide, and not what happened in Iraq.
Only once the Palestinians on their own choose to go with two state or a one state solution can the current Israeli citizens be given an opportunity to have their say regarding a one-state option. Unless the Palestinians have decided that immigrant Zionist Jews should be deported from the new state of Palestine .... wouldn't that put the cat among the pigeons, but frankly the Palestinians have such a moral and ethical Right to make that choice should they wish it. Palestine is after all always been THEIR TERRITORY and not the immigrant Zionist Jews who have arrived since 1922!